'Tis the season for annual retail predictions and, fear not dear reader, I will be sharing mine early in the New Year. Yet amidst all the prognostication nary a modern day Nostradamus gets fact checked on how well-honed their gift of prophecy actually turns out to be. I don't want to be that guy. So here's … Continue reading My 13 ‘provocative’ retail predictions for 2018: So how’d I do?
Just a couple of years ago the conventional wisdom was that e-commerce was going to wreak havoc with every aspect of physical retail. This "e-commerce will eat the world" hypothesis continues to drive the "retail apocalypse" nonsense. It has even caused some normally level-headed analysts (and some maybe not so much) to suggest that brick & … Continue reading Pure-play e-commerce’s scaling woes continue
Millard "Mickey" Drexler, the former CEO of J. Crew Group and Gap, is many things. Shy and retiring is not among them. To be sure, Drexler's had his ups and downs, his victories and defeats. But he's always interesting. In my only conversation with him (by phone when I was a responsible for strategy and … Continue reading The de-schlepping of retail
Recently a roughly $8.4 billion offer from the Nordstrom family to take the namesake retailer private was rejected as inadequate. The deal now seems at risk as the special committee in charge of evaluating a potential transaction indicated that the price needed to be "substantially" and "promptly" improved upon or they would terminate further discussions. While … Continue reading Going Private Could Be The Best Thing To Ever Happen To Nordstrom; With One Big Caveat
Late last month, Wayfair, the leading online-only furniture brand, reported dramatic sales growth and yet year-over-year profits fell significantly. Unsurprisingly the stock took a steep hit. In its most recent earnings announcement, Stitch Fix, the online styling subscription service, reported sales up over 25%, yet profits were essentially flat. When they signaled that profits were expected to get worse as they … Continue reading Wayfair, StitchFix And Pure-Play E-commerce’s Scaling Problem